US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Four Horses
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US Elections: Big Board Watch

Post by Four Horses »

There are some key states to watch

Pennsylvania:
PA has been heavily democrat stronghold for a long time. Trump turned it by ~ 40,000 votes last time.
This is buzzing right now. Huge turnout being reported.
Last week Pittsburgh newspaper endorsed Trump. They have been Dem since early 70's. Trump's crowds were huge, Biden's were small.

Big factors:
the oil/gas industry and fracking promoted by Trump and to be banned by Biden.
steel industry and reclaiming lost offshore jobs

The Fix:
a whole lot of ballot tampering, and the electronic counting software was supposed to give Biden the win.
much has been exposed and stopped

Voting Indicators:
The Amish attended Trump's rally and held one of their own for him. They have announced that they will be voting Trump and allowing the women to vote this time... 89,000 Amish voting and out early this morning This is BIG.

see pic below:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El3gLIFXYAI ... ame=medium


The Nuns
There was a group of nuns attending a PA Trump rally. This is generally forbidden. These nuns carried Trump signs, sat in full view of TV cameras behind Trump and posed for pics. Something big in an undercurrent when nuns get permission not only to attend but to promote a candidate or mandate.

If the nuns are in, the Amish are in, then Trump has hit a nerve of the religious right in PA.

Color Pennsylvania Red
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Four Horses
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Florida:

The most important of the swing states. The Dems try to lock Florida in the Miami-Dade and Broward counties and all those voting shenanigans.

Dems have a few strongholds:
Miami- Ft Lauderdale
Tampa
Orlando
They normally cater to the back and latino crowds.
They get the upper east coast snow birds and those retirees as well

Factors:
Gov DeSantis fired the Dem in charge of Miami-Dade elections (a while ago)
Florida has been in covid lockdown with hard times for many. DeSantis opened up Florida completely last week. This bodes well for Republicans. The Gov is from a non-political background - ex-military lawyer and seems to be well liked.

Past Gov Scott won the senate seat last election against the Dem ex-mayor of Tallahassee, who was later caught up in a public drugs-sex escapade. Scott is well liked and replaced the Dem who had been incumbent for decades

Sen Rubio is well liked by his voters in the SE Dem corridor.

Dems needed ~ 22% early black & latino turn-out. They fell short.


Indicators:

Huge boat rallies for Trump across Florida waters. These organized by citizens and going on for last few months.
Florida is Trump home state.

A car rally of > 30,000 cars of Latinos in Miami area came out for Trump
Past week there was a large rally for Trump in just outside Orlando

Last Sunday a rally for Trump in Miami supposed to be around 8-9ish. Trump was late and pp waited. Started after 11:00 pm and went to almost 2:00 am. 45,000 ppl attended. Very large number of latinos, especially Cuban oriented. Hispanics a parking Republican .


TV will tell you that it's close. Not so.

Florida has turned RED
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Duke Atriedes
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

Post by Duke Atriedes »

I keep hearing voting by the GOP is 160,000 ahead of Dems. How does anyone know that?

Florida is also the state having the hardest time bucking COVID 19 right now. They have spikes into the 150+ per day deaths.

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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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DeSantis opened Florida up last week. Colvid cases are up but deaths down - due to increase testing.

They know because of voter registration whether the voters were Dem, Rep or Indie.
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Wisconsin


Swing state.
Hit hard by covid, manufacturing job losses, then by Antifa/BML riots.
A Great Lake state - relies on manufacturing, energy and markets - that's Trump territory pitch

Gov & Mayors held back city and state police as well as state national guard.
I suspect the Kenosha Kid effect will come into play (Law & Order). Citizens have not forgotten.

WI will go RED
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Michigan

Gov Widmer is the big factor here. The "Wicked Witch" .
She locked down Michigan while allowing her husband to do what he pleased - like Ontario & Ford.
Michiganers held massive boat and car rallies for Trump.

Get out of Greater Detroit and ppl much like South Western Ontario conservatives.

New kid on the block in one of the MI races - Republican, ex-military (?) and successful businessman. Comes across very articulate, honest and personable. Not a politician. Tweets say he has gained a lot of ground against incumbent Dem running. The Dem is an old white guy sitting on his ass doing nothing. This guy is young, smart and energetic. He is also black that will pull votes.

Michigan will be an anti-Dem turnout vote.
I see RED
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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North Carolina

The poor backward cousin to South Carolina.
Grown tremendously in manufacturing over the years. Lots of job losses to overseas.
Increases in affluence in urban centers.
These folk are not backwards.

Influx of yankee dems into these new business areas but not enough to overcome the anti-Biden sentiment, the laptop from hell, the right-to-life, and that Dixie common sense.




I see N Carolina staying RED
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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New York

Hardly a swing state but ............

Gov Cuomo has lost a tremendous amount of support with the deaths of the elderly re:covid, his hard handedness in lockdowns and his pompous attitudes. Little bro Freedo has distanced many as well with his antics.


Factors:
Typically NYC carries the Dem victory.
Upstate and Western NY typical Republican territory. Except Buffalo that leans Dem.Lots of chirps that western NY going much moie red this time.

NYC hit very hard business wise from covid lockdowns. Mayor DiBlasio seems to be no one's favorite. The business losses, the migration out of NYC on top of economic decision to impose min wage at $15.oo/ hr about a year or so ago - hasn't worked well for the city. It's financial bottom line is terrible. Garbage in the streets, Defund police. looting, burning cars ...


The Undercurrent:

DiBlasio sent the police to arrest a number of orthodox Jews attending a wake. That did not go over well at all. A lot of resentment on religious grounds as well as just because. The Jews held their own Brooklyn Trump car rally a couple weeks ago and locked out the Brooklyn Bridge from traffic. DiBlasio has alienated this voting block.

Business ppl in NYC hurting badly. They want change.

Long Island - several reports of massive car rallies in support of Trump over the last month. Last week it was 85 miles long.

Donald Trump was New Yorker, first and foremost. If NYC votes begin to split, the state starts turning.


This could be one of the more interesting states to watch.


Seeing a Purple map
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Four Horses
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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OHIO

Mike Pence type country
Jim Jordan home country




Just staying RED
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Duke Atriedes
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Four Horses wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:03 pm DeSantis opened Florida up last week. Colvid cases are up but deaths down - due to increase testing.

They know because of voter registration whether the voters were Dem, Rep or Indie.
Ohhhhh....so when someone goes to vote, they register, and they are actually allowed to release that? Wow

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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Duke Atriedes wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:36 pm
Four Horses wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:03 pm DeSantis opened Florida up last week. Colvid cases are up but deaths down - due to increase testing.

They know because of voter registration whether the voters were Dem, Rep or Indie.
Ohhhhh....so when someone goes to vote, they register, and they are actually allowed to release that? Wow
or perhaps they release of who voted and parties check them off published registration lists.
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Current States
FL - Red leading
VA - R
IN - R
NH - R

KY - Trump declared
VT - Blue leading
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FL

3% returns in
Trump 54.8%
Biden 44.3 %
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FL
Biden leading in Broward and Dade but under performing
475K votes just in for Trump in Miami-Dade
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Indiana
Trump declared
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Miami-Dade 2020
Trump 47
Biden 47

2016
Trump 34
Hillary 64
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W Virgina
Trump declared
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Georgia slow reporting
Turning RED
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Virginia
Trump up 100,000 votes
13% total counted so far
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Rhode Island
Biden declared
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Florida

Trump declared
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South Carolina
Trump
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Delaware
Biden leading
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North Carolina
Biden leading
Trump closing the gap
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Georgia

Trump leading easily
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Michigan early

Trump 55%
Biden 42%
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TX

red
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Arkansas
Trump
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North Carolina

Trump ahead
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Oklahoma
red
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prediction

Trump gets 300+ electoral votes
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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So how did a did dementia sufferer who conducted his campaign from his basement get more votes than Hillary? Are there really 74 million communists in the USA?

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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Duke Atriedes wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 2:44 pm So how did a did dementia sufferer who conducted his campaign from his basement get more votes than Hillary? Are there really 74 million communists in the USA?
He didn't.
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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65 million legit votes and 9 million from the dead, the party operatives stealing mailed out ballots, students voting twice, that sort of thing. Who knows?

Probably Trump's vote total (which I think is 72 million) is entirely legit and real people who actually voted.

Did you know JFK himself might have gained his win through fraud in Chicago and Texas? The wins he had in 1960 in IL and TX were his margin of victory over Richard Nixon.

Nothing new about this democrat urban fraud, it goes with the territory. The only answer to it is a more open voting system where you have to vote in person, you emerge from the polling station with a finger stain that lasts two days, and huge legal penalties await anyone who tries these shenanigans.

Or redesign the electoral college so it gives even fewer votes to states with large urban populations, right now almost 25 per cent of the electoral college is CA + NY + IL, three states that no Republican could win ever again it would seem (even without fraud). It makes electing a Republican president difficult, it's a wonder it has happened since Reagan, and each time it has, very close (after Bush the elder's first term, that win was fairly easy, but he was running against a guy who made Alfred E. Neuman look like Einstein).

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Duke Atriedes wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 2:44 pm So how did a did dementia sufferer who conducted his campaign from his basement get more votes than Hillary? Are there really 74 million communists in the USA?
Not yet, school's still in session.

But seriously, probably about 10 million communists, 25 million socialists, 40 million useful idiots, and 74 thousand people willing to spend a few days creating extra ballots.

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Ouch!

Chickens coming home to roost. Wouldn't want to be one of the dirty dems who tried to pull off an insurrection.
Voter fraud, mail fraud, conspiracies etc .... talking RICO on the soft side.
Orange man is going to be pissed.
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The fix was probably always in. Hard to compete against FRAUD, a solid dem media, the deep state, Hollywood celebrities, etc. I am thoroughly enraged - wrote Trump several times telling him to NEVER concede! Dems are cheaters - always have been, always will be. Try looking up "Hammer and Scorecard" ... so very proud of our CIA!/sarc

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Not that I was ever a Trump fan but he was good for Alberta. As if being intentionally degraded and insulted by POTawa wasn’t enough, both Keystone XL and the Alberta-Alaska rail project Trump ok’d tens of millions for will be axed according to Sleepy Joe.

Alberta, with no friends in either POTawa or Washington actually would be better off alone, which we effectively are at this point. At least we wouldn’t be extorted of billions a year by POTawa. The international community and World Court will not allow a nation to be land locked as they’ve demonstrated many times elsewhere.
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Speaking of big board watch. Has anyone seen Harris in anything other than man’s trousers like Hillary? Does this “woman” ever wear a skirt or dress? I’m thinking transsexual, just like Hillary (which drove BJ Clinton to Monika). BJ of course referring to William (Bill) Jefferson.

Why are female politicians ashamed to be women?
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Duke Atriedes
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Re: US Elections: Big Board Watch

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Just imagine for a second if GOP operatives had an ownership stake in the vote counting software? Dominion has ties to key Democrats.

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